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Ukraine tensions lift dollar, yuan holds firm

By Sujata Rao and Alun John LONDON/HONG KONG (Reuters) -The dollar inched higher on Monday, moving further off its recent two-month lows, lifted by the tension between Russia and...
Ukraine tensions lift dollar, yuan holds firm © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Representations of the Ripple, Bitcoin, Etherum and Litecoin virtual currencies are seen on a PC motherboard in this illustration picture, February 14, 2018. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Sujata Rao and Alun John

LONDON/HONG KONG (Reuters) -The dollar inched higher on Monday, moving further off its recent two-month lows, lifted by the tension between Russia and the West over Ukraine and the possibility of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve this week.

Markets were until recently not fretting about the massing of Russian troops on Ukraine's borders, but tensions have tightened several notches of late, with U.S. President Joe Biden considering boosting military assets in Eastern Europe and ordering diplomats' families to leave Kyiv.

ING Bank strategist Francesco Pesole said markets were pricing more of a risk premium into the euro, with fears worsening that Russia's standoff with the West could prompt it to curb energy supplies to Europe.

Meanwhile, the IHS Markit Flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone, a gauge of economic health, dropped in January to its lowest since last February.

The euro slipped 0.15% by 0845 GMT to $1.1325, trading just off two-week lows touched on Friday, while the dollar index was 0.10% higher at 95.72.

The greenback also gained 0.1% on the safe-haven yen with a dollar worth 113.8 yen, though the Japanese currency was still near its recent top of 113.47.

The dollar index has gained some 1.3% off since Jan. 14. During this period, several banks have upped forecasts for the speed and size of policy tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The Fed starts a two-day meeting on Tuesday and may signal the start of interest rate rises from March while indicating how fast it will move with reducing the size of its balance sheet.

Most expect the first hike to 0.25% in March and three more to 1.0% by year end..

However, positioning data showed on Friday speculators cut net long positioning on the dollar to the lowest since September and instead added $2.6 billion worth of net positions.

ING's Pesole said leaving aside the Ukraine situation, the dollar recovery could stall if the Fed signalled an implicit preference for balance sheet reduction as a means to tighten policy.

"If markets see the Fed willing to let balance sheet reduction do the heavy lifting, that may force a scaleback in forecasts for the number of rate hikes," he said.

"The dollar will find more support from actual rate hike expectations than expectations of draining liquidity out of the market."

The Australian dollar meanwhile slipped 0.25% to two-week lows of A$0.71.52 against the greenback, ahead of Tuesday data that may show core inflation at 2.4%, the fastest rate of price growth since 2014..

The one currency to hold firm against the dollar was the Chinese yuan, which rose 0.2% to the highest since May 2018 at 6.328

Finally, Bitcoin which has almost halved in value since touching a $69,000 record in November, looked at risk of falling under $34,000 for the first time since last July.

It lost 3.6% to trade around $34,962, while ether, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, was at $2,379, having hit its lowest since July on Saturday.

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29-03-2024 12:28:15 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0776

-0.0011 (-0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.0776

-0.0011 (-0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2622

-0.0001 (-0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

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AUD/USD

0.6513

-0.0002 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

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USD/CAD

1.3553

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

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EUR/JPY

163.07

-0.18 (-0.11%)

Summary

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EUR/CHF

0.9723

-0.0004 (-0.04%)

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

-0.10 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

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↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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↑ Buy

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

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Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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↑ Sell

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DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

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Buy (3)

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US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

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IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

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↑ Sell

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BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

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Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

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Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

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Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

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14.582

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 EUR/USD1.0776Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2622Neutral
 USD/JPY151.38↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6513Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3553Neutral
 EUR/JPY163.07↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9723↑ Buy
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(30/ 30) # 1,361
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
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SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
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SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
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SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
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SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,383
Cập nhật 29-03-2024 12:28:17
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$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
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RON 95-V24.69025.180
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.610,0024.980,00
EUR26.047,4527.476,69
GBP30.507,5531.805,49
JPY159,05168,34
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 12:21:42 29/03/2024
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