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U.S. inflation day

13 Tháng Chín 2022
U.S. inflation day © Reuters. Figurines are seen in front of displayed stock graph and word "Inflation" in this illustration taken June 13, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever

Investors get the latest U.S. inflation figures on Tuesday, which will set the seal - or not - on a third consecutive 75 basis point rate hike from the Fed, and set the tone for global markets for the next several weeks.

Headline annual consumer inflation is expected to have slowed in August to 8.1% from 8.5%, and on a monthly basis, prices are expected to have fallen outright by 0.1%. Core inflation is expected to be a little stickier.

But that was the consensus forecast before the New York Fed's latest survey of consumers' inflation expectations was released on Monday. It showed a pretty steep decline in inflation expectations, particularly the one-year ahead outlook.

It is another piece of evidence that suggests the inflation peak is firmly in the rear-view mirror. Shipping rates, oil, lumber, and a whole host of other commodities prices have fallen substantially in recent months.

Asian stocks are likely to open in the green on Tuesday after Wall Street once again climbed higher. That was despite a rise in longer-dated bond yields following a weak 10-year Treasury auction, and a spike in the 'VIX' volatility index.

Some of the equity market optimism is down to news that Ukrainian forces had advanced against Russia in a war that has hurt the global economy. Some of it is down to the easing of financial conditions brought on by the falling dollar.

The dollar has weakened for four days in a row, and on Monday posted its biggest one-day decline in a month.

Elsewhere in currencies, meanwhile, Japan's central bank is nowhere near close to trying to support the yen with higher interest rates, three sources familiar with the thinking of the Bank of Japan told Reuters.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:

Japan business survey index ((Q3)

Australia consumer sentiment, business confidence (August)

U.S. inflation (August)

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29-09-2022 05:30:49 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9726

-0.0008 (-0.08%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

0.9726

-0.0008 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.0865

-0.0023 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

USD/JPY

144.16

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6514

-0.0008 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/CAD

1.3614

+0.0009 (+0.07%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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EUR/JPY

140.22

-0.11 (-0.08%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9497

-0.0004 (-0.04%)

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1,667.00

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18.887

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3.3820

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227.80

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3,335.30

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Neutral

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S&P 500

3,719.04

+71.75 (+1.97%)

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DAX

12,183.28

+43.60 (+0.36%)

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Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,005.39

+20.80 (+0.30%)

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Neutral

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Sell (1)

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Sell (6)

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17,250.88

-609.43 (-3.41%)

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Buy

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Sell (4)

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Buy (5)

Sell (2)

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1,725.13

+62.62 (+3.77%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Sell (3)

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7,442.20

-3.50 (-0.05%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Buy (4)

Sell (5)

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39.415

-0.080 (-0.20%)

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Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

48.19

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.72

-3.02 (-1.84%)

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Adidas AG

130.24

+2.94 (+2.31%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.772

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Siemens AG Class N

99.46

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Deutsche Bank AG

7.854

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Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

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Sell (7)

    EUR/USD 0.9726 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.0865 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 144.16 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6514 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3614 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.22 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9497 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,667.00 Neutral  
    Silver 18.887 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.3820 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.80 Buy  
    Brent Oil 87.98 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.015 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 227.80 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,335.30 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,719.04 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,183.28 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,005.39 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 17,250.88 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,725.13 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,442.20 Neutral  
    BASF 39.415 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 48.19 Neutral  
    Allianz 160.72 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 130.24 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 5.772 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 99.46 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.854 ↑ Sell  
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