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Wall St ends up slightly; data suggests inflation may be on downward trend

By Caroline Valetkevitch NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed slightly higher on Thursday as data showing a fall in consumer prices in December bolstered expectations of less...
Wall St ends up slightly; data suggests inflation may be on downward trend © Reuters. Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 5, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed slightly higher on Thursday as data showing a fall in consumer prices in December bolstered expectations of less aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

U.S consumer prices fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December, the report showed, giving some hope that inflation was now on a sustained downward trend.

"Most investors are seeing inflation come down. That's a positive sign, and I would expect earnings to be decent," said Gary Bradshaw, portfolio manager at Hodges Capital Management in Dallas, Texas.

Friday brings results from a number of big U.S. banks, kicking off the start of the fourth-quarter earnings season for S&P 500 companies.

Trading was choppy following the CPI data. Rents remained very high in the report, while the labor market remains tight, and inflation is still well above the Fed's target.

A separate report on Thursday showed weekly jobless claims fell last week.

But some strategists said the slowdown in U.S. inflation may pave the way for the Fed to be able to bring down consumer prices without badly damaging growth.

Traders' bets of a 25-basis point rate hike by the Fed in February shot up to 91% after the data, from 77% previously.

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares were providing the biggest boost to the S&P 500, while energy shares also were higher along with oil prices.

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 gained 13.26 points, or 0.33%, to end at 3,982.87 points, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 69.12 points, or 0.65%, to 11,002.31. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 217.33 points, or 0.64%, to 34,189.31.

"The (CPI) report confirms that inflation is in a downward trend and that it has reversed," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard acknowledged the moderation in prices, but stressed on the need for further monetary policy tightening to bring inflation down to the central bank's target.

The Fed raised the key rate by 50 basis points in December, after four back-to-back 75-bps hikes.

Big U.S. banks are forecast to report lower fourth-quarter profits, as lenders stockpile funds to prepare for an economic slowdown.

Also, overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have declined year-over-year in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv, which would be the first quarterly U.S. earnings decline since 2020.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Inc shares were near flat after Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter, reported the carmaker has delayed plans to expand its Shanghai factory.

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    EUR/USD 1.0854 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2353 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 129.88 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7099 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3339 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.00 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 1.0017 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,929.00 Neutral  
    Silver 23.642 Buy  
    Copper 4.2497 Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 82.33 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 88.82 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.864 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 167.30 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,160.95 Neutral  
    S&P 500 4,060.43 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,099.45 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,763.17 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 22,688.90 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,903.06 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,035.66 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.620 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 56.29 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.57 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 147.48 Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.736 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 143.60 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.323 Sell  
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