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Wall Street falls as Fed, Ford forecasts, frighten investors

By David French (Reuters) - Wall Street closed down on Tuesday as traders, already cautious of making new bets on the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring...
Wall Street falls as Fed, Ford forecasts, frighten investors © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 13, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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By David French

(Reuters) - Wall Street closed down on Tuesday as traders, already cautious of making new bets on the eve of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to bring another large interest rate hike, absorbed further evidence of inflation slowing American business.

The benchmark S&P 500 index has dropped this year as investors fear aggressive policy tightening measures by the Fed could tip the U.S. economy into a recession.

It closed for the third straight session below 3,900 points - a level considered by technical analysts as a strong support for the index - as last week's dire outlook from delivery firm FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX) was repeated, this time by automaker Ford Motor (NYSE:F) Co.

Shares of Ford slumped after it flagged a bigger-than-expected $1 billion hit from inflation and pushed delivery of some vehicles to the fourth quarter due to parts shortages.

Rival General Motors Co (NYSE:GM) also sank.

"We have seen some bellwethers talk about the pressures they are facing, so we could see some margin compression and some softening in the topline numbers in the third-quarter earnings," said Greg Boutle, head of U.S. equity & derivative strategy at BNP Paribas (OTC:BNPQY).

The U.S. central bank is widely expected to hike rates by 75 basis points for the third straight time at the end of its policy meeting on Wednesday, with markets also pricing in a 17% chance of a 100 bps increase and predicting the terminal rate at 4.49% by March 2023.

Focus will also be on the updated economic projections and dot plot estimates for cues on policymakers' sense of the endpoint for rates and the outlooks for unemployment, inflation and economic growth.

Adding to a mixed set of economic data, a Commerce Department report showed residential building permits - among the more forward-looking housing indicators - slid by 10% to 1.517 million units, the lowest level since June 2020.

The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit 3.56%, its highest level since April 2011, while the closely watched yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes inverted further. [US/]

An inversion in this part of the yield curve is viewed as a reliable indicator that a recession will follow in one to two years.

"There are a lot of headwinds to prevent sustained rallies. It's hard to have (price-to-earnings) expansion while the Fed is tightening," said BNP's Boutle.

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 43.61 points, or 1.12%, to end at 3,856.28 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 107.87 points, or 0.94%, to 11,427.15. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 306.89 points, or 0.99%, to 30,712.79.

All of the 11 major S&P sectors declined, with economy-sensitive real estate and materials sectors among the biggest falls.

Meanwhile, in another sign of nerves around future corporate earnings, Nike Inc (NYSE:NKE) fell after it was downgraded by Barclays (LON:BARC) analysts to "equal weight" from "overweight", citing volatility in the Chinese market due to pressures from COVID-related lockdowns in early September.

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29-09-2022 20:55:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

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EUR/USD

0.9741

+0.0007 (+0.07%)

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GBP/USD

1.0989

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144.52

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AUD/USD

0.6483

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USD/CAD

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    EUR/USD 0.9741 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.0989 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.52 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6483 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3705 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.79 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9560 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,661.95 Sell  
    Silver 18.738 Neutral  
    Copper 3.4030 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.94 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 87.81 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 6.745 Sell  
    US Coffee C 227.07 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,270.65 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,650.03 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 11,945.55 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 6,867.74 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,165.87 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,667.85 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,288.76 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 38.595 Neutral  
    Bayer 47.51 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 158.68 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 125.50 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.816 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 97.75 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.505 ↑ Sell  
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