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Wall Street set for bounceback but recession risk keeps investors cautious

By Elizabeth Howcroft LONDON (Reuters) -Wall Street was set to open higher on Tuesday and European shares were set for a second day of gains, recovering slightly from last week's...

By Elizabeth Howcroft

LONDON (Reuters) -Wall Street was set to open higher on Tuesday and European shares were set for a second day of gains, recovering slightly from last week's 17-month lows, but major central banks' rate hike plans and global recession risks kept investors cautious.

World stocks have edged higher so far this week, recovering from last week's sharp selloff which saw global equities tumble to their lowest since November 2020 as expectations for central bank policy tightening to combat high inflation prompted investors to ditch risky assets.

At 1110 GMT on Monday, the MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 50 countries, was up 0.4% on the day.

Europe's STOXX 600 was up 0.8% and London's FTSE 100 was up 0.7%.

U.S. markets, which were closed on Monday for a holiday, were set to open higher, with S&P 500 e-minis and Nasdaq futures both up by 1.7%.

Still, analysts expect the bounceback to be short-lived. Timothy Graf, head of macro strategy for EMEA at State Street (NYSE:STT) Global Markets, said the move higher was likely a result of markets being oversold in recent weeks and relief that event risks, such as the Bank of Japan and Swiss National Bank meetings, have passed.

“I think it’s a pause in what is still a trend where you have this rising probability of slowing growth, high inflation – stagflation potentially – outcome,” he said.

“Equity markets and the earnings prospects for corporates I don’t think have really taken that on board.”

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said it now thinks there is a 30% chance of the U.S. economy tipping into a recession over the next year, up from its previous forecast of 15%.

Germany's BDI industry association slashed its economic forecast for 2022 and said that a halt in Russian gas deliveries would make recession in Germany inevitable.

Earlier in the session, the Reserve Bank of Australia's governor Philip Lowe signalled more rate increases and said that inflation was expected to reach 7% by the end of the year.

European bond yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year German yield up 12 basis points on the day at 1.78%.

In currency markets, the euro was up 0.4% at $1.05515, while the U.S. dollar index was down 0.2% on the day at 104.07.

The U.S. 10-year yield was at 3.2844%, down from last week's peak of 3.495% - its highest since 2011 - which came the same day the Fed raised interest rates by a massive 75 basis points.

The Japanese yen, which has fallen sharply in recent months, dropped further to $135.97 - the yen's weakest since 1998.

Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said that the central bank should maintain its current ultra-loose monetary policy. This makes it an outlier among other major central banks.

Oil prices rose as investors focused on tight supplies of crude and fuel products. Brent crude futures were up 1.1% at $115.38 while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 1.4% at $111.13 .

Gold was little changed at around $1,832.6 an ounce.

Bitcoin was up around 3% on the day at $21,173, having stabilised slightly since it plunged to as low as $17,592.78 at the weekend. Cryptocurrencies have increasingly become a metric of risk appetite, State Street's Graf said.

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27-06-2022 09:21:35 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0562

+0.0008 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0562

+0.0008 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2279

+0.0018 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

134.63

-0.54 (-0.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

AUD/USD

0.6923

-0.0025 (-0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2888

-0.0004 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

142.21

-0.45 (-0.32%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

1.0107

-0.0003 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,836.40

+6.10 (+0.33%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

21.365

+0.206 (+0.97%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Copper Futures

3.7865

+0.0420 (+1.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

107.52

-0.10 (-0.09%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

109.14

+0.04 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

6.215

-0.066 (-1.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Coffee C Futures

223.40

-5.60 (-2.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,533.17

+96.88 (+2.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

S&P 500

3,911.74

+116.01 (+3.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,118.13

+205.54 (+1.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,208.81

+188.36 (+2.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

22,198.00

+478.94 (+2.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,765.74

+54.06 (+3.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,244.10

+137.70 (+1.70%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.215

+0.785 (+1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

57.79

-0.75 (-1.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.20

+2.20 (+1.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

170.36

+3.30 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.966

-0.310 (-4.94%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

102.62

+3.36 (+3.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

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Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.919

+0.407 (+4.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0562 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2279 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 134.63 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6923 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.2888 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 142.21 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0107 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,836.40 Sell  
    Silver 21.365 Sell  
    Copper 3.7865 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 107.52 Sell  
    Brent Oil 109.14 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.215 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 223.40 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,533.17 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,911.74 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 13,118.13 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,208.81 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 22,198.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,765.74 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,244.10 Sell  
    BASF 42.215 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 57.79 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 181.20 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 170.36 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.966 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 102.62 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 8.919 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,775/ 6,845
(15/ 5) # 1,675
SJC HCM6,795/ 6,865
(10/ 0) # 1,696
SJC Hanoi6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,698
SJC Danang6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,698
SJC Nhatrang6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,698
SJC Cantho6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,698
Cập nhật 27-06-2022 09:21:38
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,834.88 +7.6 0.42%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V33.47034.130
RON 95-III32.87033.520
E5 RON 92-II31.30031.920
DO 0.05S30.01030.610
DO 0,001S-V30.81031.420
Dầu hỏa 2-K28.78029.350
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $107.54 0 0.00%
Brent $113.14 -0.07 -0.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.080,0023.390,00
EUR23.932,6125.273,13
GBP27.815,2929.001,83
JPY167,64177,48
KRW15,5718,97
Cập nhật lúc 09:16:18 27/06/2022
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