net_left Kdata adver left

World Bank warns global economy could tip into recession in 2023

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

By David Lawder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The World Bank slashed its 2023 growth forecasts on Tuesday to levels teetering on the brink of recession for many countries as the impact of central bank rate hikes intensifies, Russia's war in Ukraine continues, and the world's major economic engines sputter.

The development lender said it expected global GDP growth of 1.7% in 2023, the slowest pace outside the 2009 and 2020 recessions since 1993. In its previous Global Economic Prospects report in June 2022, the bank had forecast 2023 global growth at 3.0%.

It forecast global growth in 2024 to pick up to 2.7% -- below the 2.9% estimate for 2022 -- and said average growth for the 2020-2024 period would be under 2% -- the slowest five-year pace since 1960.

The bank said major slowdowns in advanced economies, including sharp cuts to its forecast to 0.5% for both the United States and the euro zone, could foreshadow a new global recession less than three years after the last one.

"Given fragile economic conditions, any new adverse development -- such as higher-than-expected inflation, abrupt rises in interest rates to contain it, a resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic or escalating geopolitical tensions -- could push the global economy into recession," the bank said in a statement accompanying the report.

The bleak outlook will be especially hard on emerging market and developing economies, the World Bank said, as they struggle with heavy debt burdens, weak currencies and income growth, and slowing business investment that is now forecast at a 3.5% annual growth rate over the next two years -- less than half the pace of the past two decades.

"Weakness in growth and business investment will compound the already devastating reversals in education, health, poverty and infrastructure and the increasing demands from climate change," World Bank President David Malpass said in a statement.

China's growth in 2022 slumped to 2.7%, its second slowest pace since the mid-1970s after 2020, as zero-COVID restrictions, property market turmoil and drought hit consumption, production and investment, the World Bank report said. It predicted a rebound to 4.3% for 2023, but that is 0.9 percentage-point below the June forecast due to the severity of COVID disruptions and weakening external demand.

The World Bank noted that some inflationary pressures started to abate as 2022 drew to a close, with lower energy and commodity prices, but warned that risks of new supply disruptions were high, and elevated core inflation may persist. This could cause central banks to respond by raising policy rates by more than currently expected, worsening the global slowdown, it added.

The bank called for increased support from the international community to help low-income countries deal with food and energy shocks, people displaced by conflicts, and a growing risk of debt crises. It said new concessional financing and grants are needed along with the leveraging of private capital and domestic resources to help boost investment in climate adaptation, human capital and health, the report said.

The report comes as the World Bank's board this week is expected to consider a new "evolution road map" for the institution to vastly expand its lending capacity to address climate change and other global crises. The plan will guide negotiations with shareholders, led by the United States, for the biggest revamp in the bank's business model since its creation at the end of World War Two.

Leave your comment
HOT AUTO TRADE BOT SOFTWARE adver right
APPROVED BROKERS
net_home_top HOT AUTO TRADE BOT SOFTWARE
02-03-2024 08:15:39 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0837

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0837

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2655

+0.0032 (+0.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

150.10

+0.12 (+0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6525

+0.0031 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.3562

-0.0014 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

162.73

+0.67 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9577

+0.0020 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,091.60

+36.90 (+1.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

23.345

+0.460 (+2.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.8590

+0.0120 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.81

+1.55 (+1.98%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

83.46

+1.55 (+1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

1.836

-0.024 (-1.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

184.13

-0.22 (-0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,894.05

+16.28 (+0.33%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

5,137.08

+40.81 (+0.80%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,735.00

-0.07 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,682.50

+52.48 (+0.69%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

16,589.44

+78.00 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,075.05

+20.21 (+0.98%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,064.70

+63.40 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.985

+0.910 (+1.93%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

28.33

+0.24 (+0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

251.80

-2.05 (-0.81%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

187.00

-0.12 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.191

+0.003 (+0.04%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

181.28

-1.66 (-0.91%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.566

+0.204 (+1.65%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0837↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2655Sell
 USD/JPY150.10Buy
 AUD/USD0.6525↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3562↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY162.73↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9577↑ Buy
 Gold2,091.60↑ Sell
 Silver23.345↑ Sell
 Copper3.8590↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI79.81Buy
 Brent Oil83.46↑ Buy
 Natural Gas1.836↑ Buy
 US Coffee C184.13Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,894.05Buy
 S&P 5005,137.08↑ Buy
 DAX17,735.00↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,682.50↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,589.44↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,075.05↑ Buy
 IBEX 3510,064.70↑ Buy
 BASF47.985↑ Sell
 Bayer28.33↑ Sell
 Allianz251.80Buy
 Adidas187.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.191Sell
 Siemens AG181.28Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG12.566Neutral
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,800/ 7,950
(0/ 0) # 1,808
SJC HCM7,780/ 7,980
(0/ 0) # 1,754
SJC Hanoi7,780/ 7,982
(0/ 0) # 1,756
SJC Danang7,780/ 7,982
(0/ 0) # 1,756
SJC Nhatrang7,780/ 7,982
(0/ 0) # 1,756
SJC Cantho7,780/ 7,982
(0/ 0) # 1,756
Cập nhật 02-03-2024 08:15:41
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,082.55+38.291.87%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.43024.910
RON 95-III23.92024.390
E5 RON 92-II22.75023.200
DO 0.05S20.77021.180
DO 0,001S-V21.76022.190
Dầu hỏa 2-K20.78021.190
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$79.34+1.880.02%
Brent$83.20+1.490.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.440,0024.810,00
EUR25.964,8627.389,87
GBP30.324,7531.615,27
JPY158,96168,25
KRW15,9719,35
Cập nhật lúc 08:13:59 02/03/2024
Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái
adver main right